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on MENA - Middle East and North Africa |
| By: | Sara Kayouh ((LARCEPEM) - Laboratoire de Recherche en Compétitivité Economique et Performance Managériale (LARCEPEM)Centre Interdisciplinaire de Recherche en performance et Compétitivité Faculté des Sciences Juridiques Economiques et Sociales – Souissi Université Mohammed V- Rabat. Maroc); Omar Hniche ((LARCEPEM) - Laboratoire de Recherche en Compétitivité Economique et Performance Managériale (LARCEPEM)Centre Interdisciplinaire de Recherche en performance et Compétitivité Faculté des Sciences Juridiques Economiques et Sociales – Souissi Université Mohammed V- Rabat. Maroc) |
| Abstract: | This theoretical article aims to propose a conceptual model of good governance within Moroccan sports federations, based on a critical and integrative review of the literature. The objective is to fill a theoretical gap in the context of the Global South and to suggest concrete pathways for policymakers. An Integrative Review was employed to analyze academic and institutional contributions on sports governance. Based on this analysis, a model was developed incorporating variables such as transparency, democracy, internal control, and social responsibility, intended to be tested within Moroccan collective sports federations. The expected results aim to strengthen the theoretical foundations of sports governance in Morocco. |
| Abstract: | Les auteurs n'ont pas connaissance de quelconque financement qui pourrait affecter l'objectivité de cette étude et ils sont responsables de tout plagiat dans cet article. Conflit d'intérêts :Les auteurs ne signalent aucun conflit d'intérêts. |
| Keywords: | Bonne gouvernance sportive étude de cas comparative Maroc. JEL Classification : Z20 Type du papier : Recherche Théorique Good Sport Governance Comparative case study Morocco. Classification JEL: Z20 Paper Type: Theoretical Research, Bonne gouvernance sportive, étude de cas comparative, Maroc. JEL Classification : Z20 Type du papier : Recherche Théorique Good Sport Governance, Comparative case study, Morocco. Classification JEL: Z20 Paper Type: Theoretical Research |
| Date: | 2025–07–07 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05151632 |
| By: | Sara Kayouh ((LARCEPEM) - Laboratoire de Recherche en Compétitivité Economique et Performance Managériale (LARCEPEM)Centre Interdisciplinaire de Recherche en performance et Compétitivité Faculté des Sciences Juridiques Economiques et Sociales – Souissi Université Mohammed V- Rabat. Maroc); Omar Hniche ((LARCEPEM) - Laboratoire de Recherche en Compétitivité Economique et Performance Managériale (LARCEPEM)Centre Interdisciplinaire de Recherche en performance et Compétitivité Faculté des Sciences Juridiques Economiques et Sociales – Souissi Université Mohammed V- Rabat. Maroc) |
| Abstract: | This theoretical article aims to propose a conceptual model of good governance within Moroccan sportsfederations, based on a critical and integrative review of the literature. The objective is to fill a theoretical gap inthe context of the Global South and to suggest concrete pathways for policymakers. An Integrative Review wasemployed to analyze academic and institutional contributions on sports governance. Based on this analysis, amodel was developed incorporating variables such as transparency, democracy, internal control, and socialresponsibility, intended to be tested within Moroccan collective sports federations. The expected results aim tostrengthen the theoretical foundations of sports governance in Morocco. |
| Abstract: | Cet article théorique vise à proposer un modèle conceptuel de la bonne gouvernance dans les fédérationssportives marocaines, en s'appuyant sur une revue critique et intégrative de la littérature. L'objectif est decombler un vide théorique dans le contexte tiers-mondialiste et de suggérer des pistes concrètes pour lesdécideurs. Une Revue Intégrative a été mobilisée pour analyser les contributions académiques et institutionnellessur la gouvernance sportive. À partir de cette analyse, un modèle incluant des variables comme la transparence, la démocratie, le contrôle interne et la responsabilité sociale a été développé, destiné à être testé dans lesfédérations marocaines de sport collectif. Les résultats attendus visent à renforcer les fondements théoriques dela gouvernance sportive au Maroc. |
| Keywords: | Renewable energy education, Energy transition, Training, Sustainable Development Goals, Morocco. |
| Date: | 2025–07–07 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05151651 |
| By: | International Monetary Fund |
| Abstract: | As its economic diversification advances, Saudi Arabia has shown strong resilience to external shocks. Non-oil economic activities continue to expand, inflation is contained, and unemployment has fallen to record-low levels. While lower oil proceeds and investment-linked imports led to the emergence of twin deficits, the country maintains ample external and fiscal buffers. |
| Date: | 2025–08–04 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2025/223 |
| By: | Ayoub El Haddada (UM5 - Université Mohammed V de Rabat [Agdal], FLSH UM5 - Faculté des Lettres et des Sciences Humaines Rabat - Institut National d'Aménagement et d'Urbanisme, Rabat); Abdelhakim Mansoureddine (UM5 - Université Mohammed V de Rabat [Agdal], FLSH UM5 - Faculté des Lettres et des Sciences Humaines Rabat - Institut National d'Aménagement et d'Urbanisme, Rabat) |
| Abstract: | This article offers a narrative review of the literature dedicated to the use of Internal Social Networks (ISNs) in Knowledge Management (KM), with a particular focus on the Moroccan context. Drawing on a body of both theoretical and empirical studies, from national and international sources, the analysis identifies the factors that facilitate the integration of ISNs within organisations, as well as the specific obstacles encountered in culturally hierarchical environments. The findings reveal that while ISNs are widely adopted in industrialised countries to catalyse organisational innovation, their uptake in Morocco remains limited, hindered by cultural resistance, vertical organisational structures, and technological shortcomings. The article highlights the scarcity of context-specific empirical research and underscores the absence of a theoretical framework tailored to local dynamics. Based on this analysis, recommendations are made to encourage the adoption of ISNs, particularly through the development ofa more collaborative organisational culture, technological investment, and the formulation of contextualised theoretical models. Finally, the study proposes a conceptual framework intended to guide future empirical research on the relationship between ISNs and knowledge management performance in Morocco. |
| Abstract: | Cet article propose une revue narrative de la littérature consacrée à l'usage des Réseaux Sociaux Internes (RSI) dans la gestion des connaissances (Knowledge Management - KM), avec un focus particulier sur le contexte marocain. En mobilisant un corpus d'études théoriques et empiriques, tant nationales qu'internationales, l'analyse identifie les facteurs favorisant l'intégration des RSI dans les organisations, ainsi que les obstacles spécifiques rencontrés dans les environnements à forte hiérarchisation culturelle. Les résultats révèlent que, tandis que les RSI sont largement adoptés dans les pays industrialisés pour catalyser l'innovation organisationnelle, leur diffusion reste marginale au Maroc, entravée par des résistances culturelles, des structures organisationnelles verticales et des carences technologiques. L'article met en évidence le manque de recherches empiriques contextualisées et souligne l'absence d'un cadre théorique adapté aux dynamiques locales. À partir de cette analyse, des recommandations sont formulées pour encourager l'adoption des RSI, notamment à travers le développement d'une culture organisationnelle plus collaborative, l'investissement technologique et l'élaboration de modèles théoriques contextualisés. L'étude propose enfin un cadre conceptuel destiné à orienter les futures recherches empiriques sur les liens entre RSI et performance en gestion des connaissances au Maroc. |
| Keywords: | Konwledge management, Internal Communications, Internal Social Networks, Réseau Social Interne, Communication interne |
| Date: | 2025–06–10 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05146272 |
| By: | Arab Younes (UH2C - Université Hassan II de Casablanca = University of Hassan II Casablanca = جامعة الحسن الثاني (ar), FSJES - Faculté des Sciences Juridiques, Economique et Sociales de Mohammedia - UH2C - Université Hassan II de Casablanca = University of Hassan II Casablanca = جامعة الحسن الثاني (ar)); Imane Bounahr (UH2C - Université Hassan II de Casablanca = University of Hassan II Casablanca = جامعة الحسن الثاني (ar), FSJES - Faculté des Sciences Juridiques, Economique et Sociales de Mohammedia - UH2C - Université Hassan II de Casablanca = University of Hassan II Casablanca = جامعة الحسن الثاني (ar)) |
| Abstract: | Abstract In a global context marked by the transition to a knowledge-based economy, the development of human capital and the integration of economic intelligence (EI) have emerged as two strategic levers for developing countries. This article explores how EI can be leveraged within Moroccan public policies to enhance the effectiveness of training systems, innovation processes, and information governance. The study adopts a qualitative and comparative approach, based on an analytical framework inspired by benchmarking. The selected sample includes four African countries, Morocco, Rwanda, Ghana, and Uganda, chosen for their progress in strategic governance, education, and innovation. The aim is to compare Morocco's situation with these countries in order to identify best practices and integrated models that could inform and enrich national policies. The findings reveal that, despite significant initiatives undertaken by Morocco, challenges remain, particularly in coordinating educational policies, strategic intelligence systems, and economic needs. In contrast, the countries studied exhibit more coherent and integrated approaches. The article thus proposes concrete recommendations, inspired by these African experiences, to strengthen the impact of human capital development policies through more effective use of economic intelligence. |
| Abstract: | Dans un contexte mondial marqué par la transition vers une économie fondée sur la connaissance, le développement du capital humain et l'intégration de l'intelligence économique (IE) s'imposent comme deux leviers stratégiques pour les pays en développement. Cet article examine comment l'IE peut être mobilisée dans les politiques publiques marocaines afin de renforcer l'efficacité des dispositifs de formation, d'innovation et de gouvernance de l'information. L'étude adopte une approche qualitative et comparative, fondée sur une grille d'analyse inspirée du benchmarking. L'échantillon retenu porte sur quatre pays africains, le Maroc, le Rwanda, le Ghana et l'Ouganda, sélectionnés pour leurs avancées en matière de gouvernance stratégique, de formation et d'innovation. L'objectif est de comparer la situation du Maroc à celle de ces pays afin d'identifier des bonnes pratiques et des modèles intégrés susceptibles d'enrichir les politiques nationales. Les résultats révèlent que, malgré des initiatives significatives engagées par le Maroc, des défis persistent, notamment en matière de coordination entre politiques éducatives, dispositifs de veille stratégique et besoins économiques. À l'inverse, les pays étudiés présentent des approches plus cohérentes et interconnectées. L'article propose ainsi des pistes d'amélioration concrètes, inspirées de ces expériences africaines, pour renforcer l'impact des politiques de développement du capital humain par une mobilisation plus efficace de l'intelligence économique. |
| Keywords: | intelligence économique (IE) , capital humain , benchmark international , veille stratégique , Afrique., African Scientific Journal, Economic intelligence (EI) human capital international benchmarking strategic monitoring Africa, Economic intelligence (EI), human capital, international benchmarking, strategic monitoring, Africa |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05145214 |
| By: | Kurtz, Gerrit |
| Abstract: | The war in Sudan, which broke out on 15 April 2023 between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has triggered the largest humanitarian crisis in the world. Civilians are being directly attacked by the warring parties. The violent actors are destroying civilian infrastructure and blocking humanitarian aid as part of their war strategy. Some are also targeting members of specific identity groups, including on an ethnic basis. At the same time, the parties to the conflict claim to be protecting the civilian population. International efforts to protect the civilian population or particularly vulnerable groups have so far been largely unsuccessful. Calls for military intervention have little chance of success in the current global situation. In fact, the committed efforts of Sudanese citizens to protect themselves and others around them deserve more attention and support. Protection efforts can help alleviate the suffering of the civilian population, even if an end to the war remains out of reach. |
| Keywords: | Sudan, war, Jeddah Declaration, Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), Rapid Support Forces (RSF), humanitarian crisis, humanitarian aid, protecting civilian population, Zam-Zam, Abdelrahim Hamdan Dagalo, Hemedti, UN Human Rights Council, United Nations, African Union, Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:swpcom:321898 |
| By: | Oussama Najari (UIT - Université Ibn Tofaïl); Cheklekbire Malainine (UIT - Université Ibn Tofaïl) |
| Abstract: | This article investigates how AI can contribute to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in the Moroccan public sector centered on SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation, Infrastructure) and SDG 16 (Peace, Justice, Strong Institutions). Description of the most representative AI projects developed in the public administration. The study describes a number of AI initiatives from public administrations as an example for the potential of the use of AI tools in promoting transparency, efficiency and institutional innovation. The roadblocks of data privacy, the digital divide, and organizational resistance are also considered. The paper highlights that, while AI has significant transformative potential, its adoption must be accompanied by strong regulatory and ethical frameworks, as well as inclusive approaches to ensure its contribution to sustainable and equitable public governance. |
| Keywords: | Sustainable Development Goals, Public administrations, institutional efficiency, innovation, transparency, SDG 9, SDG 16, Morocco |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05110441 |
| By: | Agrar Walid (Ecole Nationale de Commerce et de Gestion Oujda - ENCG Oujda); Derraz Mimoun |
| Abstract: | Accounting is a discipline governed by standards, which means it cannot be practiced arbitrarily. Moreover, these standards are not intended solely for the company itself : many external stakeholders also rely on accounting information. This is why it must be prepared according to precise rules that are understandable both to those who produce it and to those who use it. The present article adopts a qualitative methodological approach and aims primarily to describe and explain the foundations of both Moroccan and international accounting systems, based on a thorough study and analysis of the CGNC and the IAS/IFRS standards. However, numerous key elements differ between the Moroccan and international frameworks, particularly in terms of the presentation of financial statements and the fundamental objectives of accounting. Indeed, IAS/IFRS standards emphasize the primacy of economic substance over legal form, whereas the CGNC favors a legal and tax-oriented view of accounting. |
| Abstract: | La comptabilité est une discipline régie par des normes, cela signifie qu'il n'est pas possible de la tenir de manière arbitraire. Par ailleurs, ces normes ne s'adressent pas uniquement à l'entreprise elle-même : de nombreux destinataires externes s'appuient également sur l'information comptable. C'est pourquoi elle doit être élaborée selon des règles précises, compréhensibles tant par ceux qui la préparent que par ceux qui l'utilisent. Notre article ci-présent repose sur une approche méthodologique qualitative et a comme objectif principal la description et l'explication du fondement de la comptabilité marocaine et celle internationale en se basant sur une étude et analyse suffisamment pointues du CGNC et des normes IAS/IFRS. Cependant, d'innombrables éléments essentiels divergent entre les deux référentiels marocain et international notamment au niveau de la présentation des états financiers, et des objectifs fondamentaux de la comptabilité. En effet, les normes IAS/IFRS prônent la prééminence de l'économique sur le juridique alors que le CGNC privilégie la vision juridique et fiscale de la comptabilité. |
| Keywords: | Comptabilité, normes comptables, CGNC, IAS, IFRS, African Scientific Journal, Comptabilité normes comptables CGNC IAS IFRS Accounting accounting standards CGNC IAS IFRS, IFRS Accounting, accounting standards |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05145018 |
| By: | Abdelkarim Jabri (ENCGO - ecole nationale de commerce et de gestion d'oujda); Btissam El-Karouni (ENCGO - ecole nationale de commerce et de gestion d'oujda) |
| Abstract: | The objective of this article is to analyse the forms that cooperation between NMF and SMEs can take in Morroco, in a framework which takes into account not only the complementarity of the capacities of the cooperators, but also the existing asymmetries between African SMEs and MNFs Although several studies have examined B2B cooperation (D. R. G. Scott (2004), B. Kogut (1999), Jeffrey J. Reuer, Jeffrey S. Smith (2002)), those in partnerships between MLFs and SMEs in developing countries are rare. By mobilizing a review of narrative literature, this article explores how these relationships can vary according to size, partners' objectives and national context. The main findings show that MNFs are mainly looking for cost savings and access to local networks, while SMEs are looking to benefit from the image of large companies and gain access to new markets. Major challenge |
| Abstract: | L'objectif de cet article est d'analyser les formes que la coopération entre les FMN et les PME peut prendre au Maroc, dans un cadre qui prend en compte non seulement la complémentarité des capacités des coopérants, mais aussi les asymétries existantes entre les PME africaines et les FMN Bien que plusieurs études aient examiné la coopération interentreprises (D. R. G. Scott (2004), B. Kogut (1999), Jeffrey J. Reuer, Jeffrey S. Smith (2002)), celles portant sur les partenariats entre FMN et PME dans les pays en développement sont rares. En mobilisant une revue de littérature narrative, cet article explore comment ces relations peuvent varier selon la taille, les objectifs des partenaires et du contexte national. Les principaux résultats révèlent que les FMN recherchent principalement la réduction des coûts et l'accès aux réseaux locaux, tandis que les PME visent à bénéficier de l'image des grandes entreprises et à accéder à de nouveaux marchés. Les défis majeurs identifiés incluent les asymétries d'information et les différences culturelles, qui influencent la réussite des partenariats |
| Keywords: | FMN -PME -Coopération -Marocobstacle Classification JEL : F23 L23 O55 Type de papier : Article théorique MNCs -SMEs -Cooperation -Morrocoobstacle Classification JEL: F23 L23 O55 Paper type: Theoretical Research, FMN -PME -Coopération -Marocobstacle Classification JEL : F23, L23, O55 Type de papier : Article théorique MNCs -SMEs -Cooperation -Morrocoobstacle Classification JEL: F23, O55 Paper type: Theoretical Research |
| Date: | 2024–08–28 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05137758 |
| By: | Brixiova Schwidrowski, Zuzana (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA)); Elbeshbishi, Amal Nagah (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA)); Zhao, Jiaxin (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA)) |
| Abstract: | Skills gaps, a lack of funding, and social norms continue to keep women and youth in North Africa from engaging in productive entrepreneurship. Using cross-national data and regional indicators from the World Bank and the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, this analysis shows how such barriers reinforce each other, leading to the structural exclusion of women and youth. For example, only 1.2% of Egyptian women are business owners, and young people in Tunisia have a significantly lower chance than adults of obtaining business loans. The report estimates that if gender gaps in networks and skills are addressed, up to 7 million more female entrepreneurs could be established in North Africa. Progress requires targeted education, the use of inclusive finance tools, and shifts in public opinion. When supported by policies, the entrepreneurship of women and young people can boost resilience and create job-rich growth. |
| Keywords: | entrepreneurship, North Africa, gender and youth economic empowerment, financial inclusion, skills development, social norms |
| JEL: | L26 J16 J18 O17 |
| Date: | 2025–07 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izapps:pp217 |
| By: | Okan Akarsu; Emrehan Aktug; Kubra Yildiz Ozertas; Huzeyfe Torun |
| Abstract: | [EN] In this study, using a randomized controlled trial (RCT), we generate exogenous variation in firms’expectations in Türkiye through providing them with publicly available information regardinginflation forecasts of several parties and official inflation target. Next, we examine how the reminderof already available information influences their inflation expectations and how exogenously shapedinflation expectations affect firm outcomes. Our findings reveal that information regarding theforecasts of professionals, central bank short- and long-term forecasts, and the official inflationtarget of the CBRT reduces the inflation expectations of firms compared to non-treated ones.Findings also suggest that firms with lower inflation expectations exhibit greater optimism aboutboth the broader economy and their own prospects, while higher expectations are associated withweaker anticipated outcomes. This highlights how inflation expectations influence firms' economicsentiment, with higher expectations linked to concerns about weaker activity. Although the effects ofthe treatments diminish over time, these results underscore the potential of targeted informationdissemination in shaping expectations and improving economic sentiment. [TR] Bu calisma, firmalara kamuya acik bilgiler saglamanin yuksek enflasyon ortaminda enflasyon beklentilerini ve ekonomik gorunumlerini nasil etkiledigini incelemektedir. Turkiye'de gerceklestirilen bir randomize kontrollu deney (RCT) ile firmalarin beklentilerinde dissal bir degisim yaratilmistir. Bulgularimiz, bilgi mudahalelerinin enflasyon beklentilerini onemli olcude azalttigini ve gecmis enflasyon, merkez bankasinin kisa ve uzun vadeli tahminleri ile resmi enflasyon hedefinin guclu sabitleyici etkiler gosterdigini ortaya koymaktadir. Bulgular ayrica, daha dusuk enflasyon beklentisine sahip firmalarin hem genel ekonomi hem de kendi gelecekleri konusunda daha iyimser oldugunu, daha yuksek beklentilere sahip firmalarin ise daha zayif sonuclar ongordugunu gostermektedir. Bu durum, enflasyon beklentilerinin firmalarin ekonomik algilarini nasil etkiledigini, yuksek beklentilerin daha zayif ekonomik aktiviteye dair endiselerle baglantili oldugunu ortaya koymaktadir. Bilgi paylasiminin etkileri zamanla azalmakla birlikte, bu sonuclar, hedefe yonelik bilgi yayiliminin beklentilerin sekillendirilmesinde ve ekonomik guvenin iyilestirilmesinde onemli bir potansiyel tasidigini vurgulamaktadir. |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tcb:econot:2514 |
| By: | Soheil Hataminia; Tania Khosravi |
| Abstract: | In this study, the impact of research and development (R&D) expenditures on the value added of the agricultural sector in Iran was investigated for the period 1971-2021. For data analysis, the researchers utilized the ARDL econometric model and EViews software. The results indicated that R&D expenditures, both in the short and long run, have a significant positive effect on the value added in the agricultural sector. The estimated elasticity coefficient for R&D expenditures in the short run was 0.45 and in the long run was 0.35, indicating that with a 1 percent increase in research and development expenditures, the value added in the agricultural sector would increase by 0.45 percent in the short run and by 0.35 percent in the long run. Moreover, variables such as capital stock, number of employees in the agricultural sector, and working days also had a significant and positive effect on the value added in the agricultural sector. |
| Date: | 2025–05 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2505.14746 |
| By: | International Monetary Fund |
| Abstract: | 2025 Selected Issues |
| Date: | 2025–07–14 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2025/184 |
| By: | Latifa Barbara (MDI Alger Business School); Gilles Grolleau (ESSCA School of Management Lyon); Assia Houfaf Khoufaf (Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Management - Partenaires INRAE); Youcef Meriane (ENSM - Ecole nationale supérieure de management - pôle universitaire Koléa - Ecole nationale supérieure de management - pôle universitaire Koléa, Université Catholique de Lyon); Naoufel Mzoughi (ECODEVELOPPEMENT - Ecodéveloppement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement) |
| Abstract: | Research on positional concerns -i.e., preferences to having less of a given good but more than otherscovered several domains such as income or social spending but housing related preferences have not attracted much academic attention. This neglect contrasts with anecdotal evidence regarding the importance of positional considerations in this domain. Thanks to a three-world survey data, we explore positional concerns in the housing related domain in Algeria (North Africa). Moreover, unlike previous literature, we tested an innovative hypothesis related to risky versus non-risky situations. Our results show that individuals mainly prefer having more (resp. less) in absolute terms of housing related goods (resp. bads), regardless of others. At the same time, a significant proportion of respondents have preferences for egalitarian and positional situations. Moreover, positional preferences are partly influenced by risk concerns. |
| Keywords: | Housing decisions, framing, positional concerns, risk, status |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05084155 |
| By: | Hataminia, Soheil; Mohammadzadeh Asl, Nazi |
| Abstract: | Iran faces a widening sustainability gap as biocapacity stagnates while the ecological footprint expands. This study investigates how external debt, economic growth, natural resource rents, and renewable energy consumption affect the national load capacity factor—a composite index of biocapacity relative to ecological demand. Annual data for 1995–2023 were compiled from the World Bank and the Global Footprint Network. After verifying integration orders with Augmented Dickey–Fuller tests and selecting an optimal lag length, Johansen cointegration confirmed the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship. Long-run coefficients were then estimated using Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS). Model adequacy was evaluated with Hansen and Park cointegration tests, Jarque–Bera normality, and Ljung–Box and ARCH diagnostics. FMOLS estimates revealed positive elasticities for external debt (0.12) and renewable energy consumption (0.11), indicating that prudent external financing and clean-energy expansion enhance Iran’s load capacity factor. Conversely, economic growth (–0.96) and natural resource rents (–0.12) exhibited negative elasticities, reflecting the resource-curse effect and the economy’s current position on the upward phase of the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Diagnostic tests detected no autocorrelation, heteroskedasticity, or coefficient instability. managed sovereign borrowing and accelerated investment in renewables can improve Iran’s environmental carrying capacity, provided that growth strategies become less resource-intensive and rent dependence diminishes. Policy measures should include carbon-linked fiscal rules, green load-capacity bonds, a natural-resource-rent stabilization fund, and an inflation-indexed carbon tax whose proceeds support renewable feed-in tariffs. |
| Keywords: | Ecological carrying capacity; Ecological footprint; External debt; Natural resource rent; Renewable energy consumption; Sustainable development; Iran |
| JEL: | O11 O13 O44 Q0 Q01 Q2 Q24 Q25 Q43 Q48 Q56 Q57 Q58 |
| Date: | 2025–07–30 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:125545 |