nep-ara New Economics Papers
on Arab World
Issue of 2009‒12‒11
two papers chosen by
Quentin Wodon
World Bank

  1. Choice under Pressure: A Dual Preference Model and Its Application By Koker, Tolga
  2. The Impact of International Migration and Remittances on the Labor-Supply Behavior of Those Left behind: Evidence from Egypt By Christine Binzel; Ragui Assaad

  1. By: Koker, Tolga (Yale University)
    Abstract: By making a distinction between public and private preferences, the paper presents a dual preference model depicting possible responses (i.e., exit, sincere voice and self-subversion) to social pressures from two opposing pressure groups. Exit is deserting the setting; sincere voice is publicly expressing dissatisfaction and self-subversion is the misrepresentation of one's private preference under social pressures. Exit and sincere voice involve prohibitive costs, making self-subversion the superior option. Massive self-subversion polarizes the society, harboring multiple social equilibria with oscillating public opinion. In an effort to dominate the public discourse, each rival pressure group opts for favorable corner equilibrium. The paper applies the dual preference model to Turkey where two kinds of self-subversion appear in response to competing Islamist and secularist social projects. Islamist pressures lead to pro-Islamist self-subversion, and secularist pressures to pro-secularist self-subversion, resulting in the polarization of the Turkish public opinion along Islamists vs. Secularists. Three field experiments with 450 respondents provide empirical support for the model's conclusions. The paper ends with the discussion of the model's implications for new social equilibrium(s).
    JEL: D58 D70 D72 D79 D82 Z12
    Date: 2009–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ecl:yaleco:60&r=ara
  2. By: Christine Binzel; Ragui Assaad
    Abstract: We analyze in this paper the impact of male-dominated migration and remittance income on the participation and hours worked decisions of adults left behind, including the hours spent by women in subsistence and domestic work. We differentiate between a 'pure' migration ("M") effect and the joint effect of migration and remittance income ("MR") and evaluate these effects for men and women separately. Additionally, we examine the labor supply behavior of wives whose husband migrated. We draw on the 2006 cross section using an instrumental variable approach as well as on the 1998/2006 panel of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS06). In line with the literature, women in MR households (albeit not in M households) tend to reduce their wage and salary work. We find evidence for both intra-household specialization and an increase in women's (and wives') total work load. Men are generally less affected. Our results suggest that it is important to differentiate between these two effects and between the different forms of market and non-market work as well as to consider the relationship between remitter and recipient.
    Keywords: migration, remittances, labor supply, time allocation, gender
    JEL: J22 F22 R23
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp954&r=ara

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