nep-ara New Economics Papers
on Arab World
Issue of 2009‒02‒07
one paper chosen by
Quentin Wodon
World Bank

  1. Outcome Commitments in Third Party Intervention: Theory and Application to U.S. Policy in Iraq By Miller, Nolan

  1. By: Miller, Nolan (Harvard U)
    Abstract: This paper presents a model of strategic interaction in which a third party intervenes on behalf of a government in its conflict with insurgents. It examines whether it is better for the intervenor to adopt an input-based strategy (i.e., specify the total resources it will spend) or an outcome-based strategy (i.e., specify the goal that it will achieve), and it shows that outcome- based strategies are better for the intervenor than input-based ones if and only if in the absence of intervention the insurgents are stronger than the government. A system of benchmarks that are tied to the efforts of both parties outperforms both input-based and outcome-based strategies. Lessons from the theory are applied to U.S. strategy in Iraq.
    Date: 2008–09

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