nep-ain New Economics Papers
on Artificial Intelligence
Issue of 2024‒04‒15
five papers chosen by
Ben Greiner, Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien


  1. Language-based game theory in the age of artificial intelligence By Valerio Capraro; Roberto Di Paolo; Matjaz Perc; Veronica Pizziol
  2. Scenarios for the Transition to AGI By Anton Korinek; Donghyun Suh
  3. Make or buy your artificial intelligence? Complementarities in technology sourcing By Charles Hoffreumon; Chris CM Forman; Nicolas van Zeebroeck
  4. Practice With Less AI Makes Perfect: Partially Automated AI During Training Leads to Better Worker Motivation, Engagement, and Skill Acquisition By Mario Passalacqua; Robert Pellerin; Esma Yahia; Florian Magnani; Frédéric Rosin; Laurent Joblot; Pierre-Majorique Léger
  5. From Factor Models to Deep Learning: Machine Learning in Reshaping Empirical Asset Pricing By Junyi Ye; Bhaskar Goswami; Jingyi Gu; Ajim Uddin; Guiling Wang

  1. By: Valerio Capraro; Roberto Di Paolo; Matjaz Perc; Veronica Pizziol
    Abstract: Understanding human behaviour in decision problems and strategic interactions has wide-ranging applications in economics, psychology, and artificial intelligence. Game theory offers a robust foundation for this understanding, based on the idea that individuals aim to maximize a utility function. However, the exact factors influencing strategy choices remain elusive. While traditional models try to explain human behaviour as a function of the outcomes of available actions, recent experimental research reveals that linguistic content significantly impacts decision-making, thus prompting a paradigm shift from outcome-based to language-based utility functions. This shift is more urgent than ever, given the advancement of generative AI, which has the potential to support humans in making critical decisions through language-based interactions. We propose sentiment analysis as a fundamental tool for this shift and take an initial step by analyzing 61 experimental instructions from the dictator game, an economic game capturing the balance between self-interest and the interest of others, which is at the core of many social interactions. Our meta-analysis shows that sentiment analysis can explain human behaviour beyond economic outcomes. We discuss future research directions. We hope this work sets the stage for a novel game theoretical approach that emphasizes the importance of language in human decisions.
    Date: 2024–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2403.08944&r=ain
  2. By: Anton Korinek; Donghyun Suh
    Abstract: We analyze how output and wages behave under different scenarios for technological progress that may culminate in Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), defined as the ability of AI systems to perform all tasks that humans can perform. We assume that human work can be decomposed into atomistic tasks that differ in their complexity. Advances in technology make ever more complex tasks amenable to automation. The effects on wages depend on a race between automation and capital accumulation. If automation proceeds sufficiently slowly, then there is always enough work for humans, and wages may rise forever. By contrast, if the complexity of tasks that humans can perform is bounded and full automation is reached, then wages collapse. But declines may occur even before if large-scale automation outpaces capital accumulation and makes labor too abundant. Automating productivity growth may lead to broad-based gains in the returns to all factors. By contrast, bottlenecks to growth from irreproducible scarce factors may exacerbate the decline in wages.
    JEL: E24 J23 J24 O33 O41
    Date: 2024–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32255&r=ain
  3. By: Charles Hoffreumon; Chris CM Forman; Nicolas van Zeebroeck
    Date: 2024–03–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ulb:ulbeco:2013/369623&r=ain
  4. By: Mario Passalacqua (MAGI - Département de Mathématiques et de Génie Industriel - EPM - École Polytechnique de Montréal); Robert Pellerin (MAGI - Département de Mathématiques et de Génie Industriel - EPM - École Polytechnique de Montréal); Esma Yahia (LISPEN - Laboratoire d’Ingénierie des Systèmes Physiques et Numériques - Arts et Métiers Sciences et Technologies - HESAM - HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université); Florian Magnani (CERGAM - Centre d'Études et de Recherche en Gestion d'Aix-Marseille - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - UTLN - Université de Toulon, ECM - École Centrale de Marseille); Frédéric Rosin (LISPEN - Laboratoire d’Ingénierie des Systèmes Physiques et Numériques - Arts et Métiers Sciences et Technologies - HESAM - HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université); Laurent Joblot (LISPEN - Laboratoire d’Ingénierie des Systèmes Physiques et Numériques - Arts et Métiers Sciences et Technologies - HESAM - HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université); Pierre-Majorique Léger (HEC Montréal - HEC Montréal)
    Abstract: The increased prevalence of human-AI collaboration is reshaping the manufacturing sector, fundamentally changing the nature of human work and training needs. While high automation improves performance when functioning correctly, it can lead to problematic human performance (e.g., defect detection accuracy, response time) when operators are required to intervene and assume manual control of decision-making responsibilities. As AI capability reaches higher levels of automation and human-AI collaboration becomes ubiquitous, addressing these performance issues is crucial. Proper worker training, focusing on skill-based, cognitive, and affective outcomes, and nurturing motivation and engagement, can be a mitigation strategy. However, most training research in manufacturing has prioritized the effectiveness of a technology for training, rather than how training design influences motivation and engagement, key to training success and longevity. The current study explored how training workers using an AI system affected their motivation, engagement, and skill acquisition. Specifically, we manipulated the level of automation of decision selection of an AI used for the training of 102 participants for a quality control task. Findings indicated that fully automated decision selection negatively impacted perceived autonomy, self-determined motivation, behavioral task engagement, and skill acquisition during training. Conversely, partially automated AI-enhanced motivation and engagement, enabling participants to better adapt to AI failure by developing necessary skills. The results suggest that involving workers in decision-making during training, using AI as a decision aid rather than a decision selector, yields more positive outcomes. This approach ensures that the human aspect of manufacturing work is not overlooked, maintaining a balance between technological advancement and human skill development, motivation, and engagement. These findings can be applied to enhance real-world manufacturing practices by designing training programs that better develop operators' technical, methodological, and personal skills, though companies may face challenges in allocating substantial resources for training redevelopment and continuously adapting these programs to keep pace with evolving technology.
    Keywords: Human-centered AI, training curriculum, motivation, self-determination theory, industry 5.0
    Date: 2024–03–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04487695&r=ain
  5. By: Junyi Ye; Bhaskar Goswami; Jingyi Gu; Ajim Uddin; Guiling Wang
    Abstract: This paper comprehensively reviews the application of machine learning (ML) and AI in finance, specifically in the context of asset pricing. It starts by summarizing the traditional asset pricing models and examining their limitations in capturing the complexities of financial markets. It explores how 1) ML models, including supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised, and reinforcement learning, provide versatile frameworks to address these complexities, and 2) the incorporation of advanced ML algorithms into traditional financial models enhances return prediction and portfolio optimization. These methods can adapt to changing market dynamics by modeling structural changes and incorporating heterogeneous data sources, such as text and images. In addition, this paper explores challenges in applying ML in asset pricing, addressing the growing demand for explainability in decision-making and mitigating overfitting in complex models. This paper aims to provide insights into novel methodologies showcasing the potential of ML to reshape the future of quantitative finance.
    Date: 2024–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2403.06779&r=ain

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