nep-agr New Economics Papers
on Agricultural Economics
Issue of 2024‒09‒09
37 papers chosen by
Angelo Zago, Universitàà degli Studi di Verona


  1. Production and consumption of agricultural products in Russia in 2023 By Natalia Zhagaida; Dmitry Ternovsky
  2. Trapped in Poverty: The Impact of Large-Scale Land Acquisitions on Education. A Geospatial Approach By Ben-Amon Kosbab
  3. Agricultural Trade and Food Security By Jayjit Roy; Manan Roy; Jessica Robinson
  4. Remoteness, Farm Production, and Dietary Diversity in Nepal By Singh, Tushar; Kishore, Avinash; Alvi, Muzna
  5. Structure, Costs, and Technology Used on U.S. Dairy Farms By Gillespie, Jeffrey; Njuki, Eric; Terán, Angel
  6. The Russian War in Ukraine Impact on Kyrgyzstan's Food Market and Agri-Food Sector in 2022 By Tilekeyev, Kanat
  7. Too poor to migrate? Weather shocks reduce temporary migration among smallscale farmers in Uganda By Kafle, Kashi; Wang, Yuanhang; Kiiza, Barnabas
  8. Comparing the potential of meat alternatives for a more sustainable food system By Bry-Chevalier, Tom
  9. Environmental effects in the changing mountain farming system – A case study from Uttarakhand By Chandra, Rommila
  10. Assessing the development impacts of bio-innovations The case of genetically modified maize and cassava in Tanzania By Benfica, Rui; Zambrano, Patricia; Chambers, Judith; Falck-Zepeda, Jose
  11. Assessing winegrowers’ adaptations to climate change: a case study of the Languedoc-Roussillon vineyard By Oihana Luque; Nina Graveline
  12. Cost benefit analysis of robotic weeding in vineyards: A case study from France By Tamirat, Tseganesh W.; Pedersen, Søren M.; Ørum, Jens E.; DeJonghe, Luc
  13. Economics of Small Ruminant Production under Different Healthcare System: A Stochastic Meta-frontier Approach By Adebisi, Luke O.; Omotesho, Abayomi O.; Adebisi, Oluwaremilekun A.
  14. Welfare Effects of Agricultural Productivity Growth – A Micro Panel Evidence from Rural Tanzania By Amankwah, Akuffo
  15. When you need it quick, let us ship it right“: On the importance of port efficiency and service quality to comply with food trade standards in Ghana By Kornher, Lukas; Sakyi, Daniel; Tannor, Linus Linnaeus
  16. Agricultural and Rural Development Interventions and Poverty Reduction: Global Evidence from 16 Impact Assessment Studies By Hossain, Marup; Mendiratta, Vibhuti; Savastano, Sara
  17. Attitudes towards risk and optimal use of inputs in maize production in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam By Le, V.D.; Pham, L.T.
  18. Optimization under uncertainty for food security By Reusken, Meike
  19. Combining modelling and participation to build agricultural adaptation scenarios in water stressed territories By Nina Graveline; Alexandre Alix; Marta Debolini; David Dorchies; Katrin Erdlenbruch; Juliette Le Gallo; Sébastien Loubier; Jean-Marc Touzard
  20. How does the land tenure policy impact farmland rental markets? By Yang, Xinyue; Odening, Martin
  21. Women’s Relative Earning Power and Fertility: Evidence from Climate Shocks in Rural Madagascar By Sylvain Dessy; Francesca Marchetta; Roland Pongou; Luca Tiberti
  22. Dietary shift brings non-ignorable cross-border health and environment change By Zong, Jian; Zhu, Maoran; Xie, Wei
  23. Biased Voluntary Nutri-Score Labeling By Schnedler, Wendelin; Vigano, Antonia
  24. Assessing the limits of sustainable intensification for agriculture using a spatial model framework By Fernández, Enrique G.; Borges, Magdalena; Ferraro, Bruno; Rava, Catalina; Lanfranco, Bruno
  25. Determinants of Using Cold Storage Technology: Insights from Onion Farmers in Bongabon and San Jose City, Nueva Ecija, Philippines By Buenaseda, R.D.; Daloonpate, A.; Vijitsrikamol, K.
  26. Drivers of Online Retailing Performance of Agricultural Products in Rural China By Le-rong, YU; Jia-ming, GU
  27. Structural Price Fluctuation Caused by Oil Price Variation in China’s Mutton and Beef Market By Zheng, X.; Daud, A.; Taasim, S.I.; Rosli, A.
  28. Onion Market Dynamics: Integration and Price Transmission across Key Indian Markets By Nayak, S Harshitha; Srivastava, Shivendra Kumar
  29. The Timing of (Green) Incentives: Exploiting Opportunity Windows By Gilles Grolleau; Naoufel Mzoughi; Emilien Prost
  30. Measuring Quality of Dietary Life and its Fundamental Issues: Capability Approach and Empirical Application in Japan By Ueda, Haruka
  31. A Study of Choice Overload Measurement in Food Consumption By Liu, Pengcheng; Xie, Qing; You, Yi; Dong, Qingqing
  32. Analysis of different types of agriculture for a conceptualization of new rurality in northern Mexico: the case of Chihuahua By Quintana, Víctor M.; Solis, Martín
  33. Assessing the Impact of Catastrophic Electricity Loss on the Food Supply Chain By Blouin, Simon; Herwix, Alexander; Rivers, Morgan; Tieman, Ross; Denkenberger, David C.
  34. Valuation of Marine Ecosystem Services in the Black Sea By Halkos, George; Zisiadou, Argyro; Aslanidis, Panagiotis-Stavros; Koundouri, Phoebe
  35. Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations By Nikoleta Anesti; Vania Esady; Matthew Naylor
  36. Measuring and benchmarking time-varying market efficiency By Mu, Yali
  37. Land Conflicts in the Wake of Gold Mining Expansion in Colombia By Paola Jaimes

  1. By: Natalia Zhagaida (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy); Dmitry Ternovsky (RANEPA)
    Keywords: Russian economy, agricultural production, food security
    JEL: I18 I19 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gai:ppaper:ppaper-2024-1332
  2. By: Ben-Amon Kosbab (University of Konstanz & Universitat Pompeu Fabra Barcelona)
    Abstract: Large parts of the population in developing countries depend on agriculture for their income and food security. However, agriculture-dependent households are vulnerable to agricultural shocks, which prevent them from investing in education, thus hindering their socio-economic progress and their ability to reduce dependence on agriculture. Research on the impact of agricultural shocks on education predominantly focuses on those caused by extreme weather events and fluctuations in agricultural commodity prices. The impact of large-scale land acquisitions on education has not been studied, despite their growing number and potential to disrupt the agricultural production of small-scale farmers. This paper fills the research gap by hypothesizing that large-scale land acquisitions negatively impact the education of people in their vicinity due to resulting food insecurity and income loss, leading households to divert educational resources to basic needs and withdraw children from school to contribute to income. The negative impact on education is expected to be more pronounced for boys, who find rural employment more easily and are thus more frequently withdrawn from school. Employing a geospatial approach, this paper links 322 large-scale land acquisitions in Africa to 46, 711 Afrobarometer respondents. The results of the regression analysis indicate that being affected by a large-scale land acquisition between the ages of 0 and 16 has a statistically significant negative impact on education. The hypothesized stronger negative impact on male education is not supported by the results. The findings imply that large-scale land acquisitions hinder rural development and entrench poverty, contrary to claims by investors and politicians.
    Keywords: education, large-scale land acquisition, agricultural shocks, rural development
    JEL: I20 I24 I25
    Date: 2024–08
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:aiw:wpaper:36
  3. By: Jayjit Roy; Manan Roy; Jessica Robinson
    Abstract: In recent years, food insecurity has reached alarming proportions. Moreover, there has also been a growing recognition that international trade may affect the severity of the challenge. Accordingly, the effect of countries’ agricultural trade on food security is worth analyzing. However, identifying this impact is challenging due to the endogeneity of agricultural openness. Employing data across roughly 200 countries over 2000-2016 and an instrumental variables strategy, we estimate this causal effect of interest and arrive at a number of novel conclusions. First, the effect of agricultural commerce on food security differs from those of overall and non-agricultural trade. Second, the estimated impacts are often sensitive to the measure of food security employed. Finally, concerns over the endogeneity of openness are relevant. Key Words: Food Security, Agricultural Trade, Instrumental VariablesCreation-Date: 2024
    JEL: C36 F63 Q17
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:apl:wpaper:24-18
  4. By: Singh, Tushar; Kishore, Avinash; Alvi, Muzna
    Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between agriculture, dietary diversity, and market access in Nepal, testing the complex causal chains involved, and the nuanced connections between production diversity and dietary diversity among smallholder farmers. While diversifying farm production could enhance dietary diversity, the case of Nepal indicates a varied and context specific relationship. Market access emerges as a crucial factor, often exerting a more significant impact on smallholder farm households than production diversity. Access to markets not only influences economic viability but also contributes directly to food and nutrition security, offering a practical solution to address dietary needs. Focusing on Nepal's diverse terrain, the study analyzes the interplay of remoteness, market access, irrigation availability, and complementary inputs in shaping farmers' decisions, providing valuable insights into sustainable agricultural strategies for improved dietary outcomes in low- and middle-income countries.
    Keywords: Consumer/Household Economics, Farm Management
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344288
  5. By: Gillespie, Jeffrey; Njuki, Eric; Terán, Angel
    Abstract: The milk production segment of the U.S. dairy industry has experienced significant change over the past two decades. Various USDA data sources allow for analysis of how dairy farms have changed in structure and production costs. This study uses USDA’s Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS) dairy version data from 2000, 2005, 2010, 2016, and 2021 (and other USDA data) to examine changes in farm structure, production costs, and technology adoption and to compare dairy farms by size and production region over the past two decades. Methods used to analyze the data include the difference in means tests and stochastic frontier analysis. Dairy farm numbers have decreased, while milk production has increased; increases in the use of some advanced farm technology have occurred; larger farms benefit from economies of scale and are the greater users of advanced technologies and production systems; and there are regional differences in farm structure and cost of production.
    Keywords: Dairy Farming, Dairy Production/Industries, Demand and Price Analysis, Farm Management, Labor and Human Capital, Production Economics, Productivity Analysis, Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies, Research Methods/ Statistical Methods
    Date: 2024–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:uersrr:344571
  6. By: Tilekeyev, Kanat
    Abstract: Russia's war in Ukraine caused a spike in basic food costs as well as agro-input prices (fuel, seeds, and fertilizer) in 2022. Fertilizer prices rose double on average compared to 2021, reducing farmer demand and import supply to Kyrgyzstan. Fuel costs increased, while market demand remained constant. Farmers had a seasonal diesel shortage in the second half of 2022. The financial market remained stable and lending in agriculture increased due to the stable interest rates for agricultural lending. Analysis of the four key food markets in Kyrgyzstan (wheat, sugar, potato and meat) demonstrated increase in prices under the external and internal factors - increased input prices, trade restrictions imposed by supply states, increased cost of logistics and growth of domestic production factors. The overall situation demonstrates that agriculture is undergoing a severe shock as a result of rising prices, which feeds into the cascade effect of rising prices. However, the country's population's consumer ability cannot keep up with price increases, resulting in a reduction in demand for more expensive foods.
    Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy, Food Security and Poverty
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344314
  7. By: Kafle, Kashi; Wang, Yuanhang; Kiiza, Barnabas
    Abstract: In the absence of reliable and timely weather information, unprecedented weather shocks can influence farmers’ decision-making. We take the case of Uganda to investigate the relationship between weather shocks and temporary migration among smallholders. Using longitudinal data from a nationally representative survey – Living Standard Measurement Study-Integrated Survey in Agriculture (LSMS-ISA) –, we examine if household-level weather shocks affect temporary migration. Using panel data estimators, we show that weather shocks reduce temporary migration among poor households, and the relationship is more pronounced for smallholders. We also find that the relationship differs by the type of migration. Weather shocks reduce temporary labor migration and migration for educational purposes, but migration for other reasons is not affected. These results are confirmed by focused group interviews with 24 rural farmers from all four regions of Uganda. We identify reduced agricultural productivity and low farm revenue as potential channels for the negative relationship between weather shocks and migration.
    Keywords: International Development
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344270
  8. By: Bry-Chevalier, Tom
    Abstract: Numerous studies highlight the significant negative externalities associated with meat consumption, necessitating a shift towards diets with reduced meat intake. Given the challenges in persuading individuals to reduce meat consumption in their diet and the low popularity of coercive policies, alternative proteins have been proposed as a solution to facilitate the protein transition. This paper stresses the risk that non-holistic analysis of alternative proteins bear in promoting suboptimal solutions, and therefore the need for a multidimensional approach considering aspects such as environmental performance, scalability, acceptability, and animal welfare. For instance, a food product exhibiting favourable environmental performance but lacking scalability potential would likely have minimal transformative impact on food systems. Furthermore, supporting suboptimal solutions generates an opportunity cost in terms of the quantity of meat reduced. Thus, it is crucial to compare alternative proteins not only with conventional meat but also with each other. In this multidimensional analysis, plant-based meats and single-cell proteins emerge as having the greatest potential for contributing to sustainable food systems. Cultivated meat could also contribute positively if it finds a unique market segment and overcomes scalability challenges. Insects demonstrate little promise and should not be considered a sustainable solution given the current state of evidence.
    Date: 2024–08–08
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:osfxxx:ze5yt
  9. By: Chandra, Rommila
    Abstract: A variety of ecosystem services are impacted by the transitory shift that the mountain agricultural system is going through from traditional crop farming to a cash crop economy. The goal of the study was to comprehend how different farming methods and decision-making processes contribute to balancing the positive and negative aspects of an agroecosystem in mountainous regions. The study elaborates on the various farm types' capacity to support sustainable agroecosystems by exploring a non-monetary assessment based on biophysical indicators and farmers' perspective. Via a bottom-up methodology, an indicator-based framework was used, and primary field data collection and household surveys in two types of village settlements—connected and isolated—were used to estimate the numerical values of the selected indicators. The study's policy recommendation is that comprehensive quantitative data on agricultural landscape planning and governance would be useful in shedding light on the ways in which farming practices and agricultural policies can affect the socioeconomic and environmental consequences of agricultural policy, thereby promoting the development of sustainable livelihoods.
    Keywords: Environmental Economics and Policy
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344308
  10. By: Benfica, Rui; Zambrano, Patricia; Chambers, Judith; Falck-Zepeda, Jose
    Abstract: Tanzania’s agriculture is characterized by low productivity due to unpredictable rainfall and the prevalence of pests and diseases. Genetically modified (GM) maize offering protection against drought and insects are being developed. Likewise, GM varieties resistant to cassava brown streak disease were developed. Building on prior crop-based analyses, we use the Rural Investment and Policy Analysis (RIAPA) CGE model to assess the impacts of the adoption of those GM crops. GM maize and cassava have positive effects on the economy, the Agri-Food System (AFS), and poverty. Given its stronger linkages in the AFS, the effects of the GM maize are stronger, especially in higher adoption and high yield scenarios. Likewise, the effects on the poorest and rural households are greater. The high variation across scenarios, and the significant effect of the high adoption/high yield scenarios, suggests a high return to investments and policies that realize these adoption rates and yield potential.
    Keywords: Food Security and Poverty, Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344284
  11. By: Oihana Luque (UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne); Nina Graveline (UMR Innovation - Innovation et Développement dans l'Agriculture et l'Alimentation - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)
    Keywords: Climate change, Adaptation strategy, Wine production
    Date: 2023–08–29
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04651524
  12. By: Tamirat, Tseganesh W.; Pedersen, Søren M.; Ørum, Jens E.; DeJonghe, Luc
    Abstract: Increasing demand for food with minimal traces of chemicals is challenging viticulture to move away from chemical weeding. In France, there is increasing trend towards mechanical weeding, but it is repetitive, labour intensive, and costly to farmers. Autonomous robotic systems may help tackle the labour challenge while also providing opportunities to improve input use efficiency and minimize CO2 emission. This study provides a cost benefit analysis of robotic mechanical weeding relative to conventional practices of chemical weeding and mechanical weeding using tractor based on a case study in France. The results show that the robotic system generates a little less net present value but considerably reduces labour and fuel use compared to conventional practice.
    Keywords: Agribusiness, Crop Production/Industries, Productivity Analysis, Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies
    Date: 2023–09–19
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:haaewp:344214
  13. By: Adebisi, Luke O.; Omotesho, Abayomi O.; Adebisi, Oluwaremilekun A.
    Abstract: Prior use of the stochastic frontier model and subsequent measurement of performance of the agricultural produce sector, which relies on the presumption that the underlying technology is the same for all the different agricultural systems is not adequate as heterogeneity does exist in most agricultural production environments and failure to account for this, is likely to result in biased production frontier and efficiency. This study contributed to the existing knowledge, estimating technical efficiency and the technological gap in Nigerian Small Ruminant farms using the stochastic meta-frontier approach. For this study, we classified the farms based on the different production technologies adopted. The result of the analysis shows that farms differ in performance and technology use with the farms engaging both orthodox and traditional animal healthcare technologies having the highest efficiency. Furthermore, the results prove support for specific agricultural policies targeted at increasing the performance of indigenous technology in the livestock industry for better productivity and the prosperity of Nigeria.
    Keywords: Livestock Production/Industries
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344262
  14. By: Amankwah, Akuffo
    Abstract: This paper uses two waves of nationally representative household-level panel data to examine the welfare effects of agricultural productivity in rural Tanzania. Four measures of productivity and ten indicators of welfare, including multidimensional welfare, are considered. Econometric procedures that take into account potential endogeneity resulting from omitted variables bias are employed. The results show welfare-enhancing effects of agricultural productivity, though the elasticities are marginal, requiring potentially large productivity growth for substantial welfare impact. The analysis of the linkage between productivity growth and welfare transition shows that households that experience growth in productivity are more likely to make welfare-enhancing transitions. Policies that allow for expanding households access to durable goods and agricultural capital, investment in irrigation and erosion control facilities, improving households access to agricultural extension services with the needed know-how, as well as ensuring favorable biophysical environment, are vital for sustained productivity growth.
    Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy, Food Security and Poverty, International Development
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344252
  15. By: Kornher, Lukas; Sakyi, Daniel; Tannor, Linus Linnaeus
    Abstract: Agricultural exports are especially important because of their great potential for poverty reduction among smallholder farmers. However, many African countries, such as Ghana, fail to realize their full export potential due to institutional and technical constraints. This paper examines the importance of port efficiency and service quality in complying with food trade standards in Ghana. We provide a stylized theoretical model in which exporting firms are willing to pay for improved port service quality as long as the marginal revenue derived from a reduced likelihood of (border) rejection exceeds the marginal costs for improved service quality. We test the model's predictions using primary data from 120 agri-food exporters in Ghana. Our results show that about two-thirds of exporting firms have a positive willingness-to-pay for a reduction in the handling time at the port and the risk of spoilage due to inadequate handling. These findings emphasize the importance of trade facilitation measures in improving port efficiency and service quality to accelerate agricultural exports.
    Keywords: Agribusiness, International Relations/Trade
    Date: 2024–08–08
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344297
  16. By: Hossain, Marup; Mendiratta, Vibhuti; Savastano, Sara
    Abstract: Agricultural and rural development interventions significantly reduce global poverty by providing growth-oriented tools, including but not limited to access to finance, training, and markets. While such interventions effectively reduce monetary poverty (e.g., $1 a day poverty line), there is increasing interest in incorporating non-monetary poverty indicators, such as education, health, and living standards, to capture inherent multidimensionality in poverty. This study analyzes data from 16 impact evaluation studies conducted between 2019 and 2023 to examine whether and to what extent agricultural and rural development interventions affect the multidimensional poverty of small-scale producers. Our analysis reveals a 4 percent reduction in multidimensional poverty for treatment households compared to comparison households. Our findings suggest that agricultural and rural development interventions play a positive role in reducing poverty and have the potential to improve the long-term well-being of poor households.
    Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344302
  17. By: Le, V.D.; Pham, L.T.
    Abstract: The paper is aimed at measuring the risk attitude of maize farmers and testing the relationship between farmers' risk attitudes and optimal use of inputs in production. The experimental method of Eckel and Grossman (2002) associated with the constant partial risk utility function was employed to measure the farmers’ risk attitude. Then, allocative efficiency coefficients were calculated from the output elasticities of inputs estimated from the Cobb-Douglas production function associated with the profit-maximizing condition in using inputs. The data was collected from a survey of 130 farm households located in large and concentrated maize production areas in the Mekong Delta. It is found that the majority of farmers are found to be risk-averse, accounting for 69.05%. Generally, the more risk averse the farmers are, the less purchased inputs are used in production. Then, most of farmers are not able to maximize profits.
    Keywords: Crop Production/Industries, Production Economics, Risk and Uncertainty
    Date: 2024–04–28
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:asea24:344440
  18. By: Reusken, Meike (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tiu:tiutis:841c8bb0-2b77-4d8f-9150-013f1928ea0d
  19. By: Nina Graveline (UMR Innovation - Innovation et Développement dans l'Agriculture et l'Alimentation - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement); Alexandre Alix (UMR Innovation - Innovation et Développement dans l'Agriculture et l'Alimentation - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement); Marta Debolini (EMMAH - Environnement Méditerranéen et Modélisation des Agro-Hydrosystèmes - AU - Avignon Université - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); David Dorchies (UMR G-EAU - Gestion de l'Eau, Acteurs, Usages - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - BRGM - Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - AgroParisTech - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement); Katrin Erdlenbruch (CEE-M - Centre d'Economie de l'Environnement - Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement - UM - Université de Montpellier); Juliette Le Gallo (UMR Innovation - Innovation et Développement dans l'Agriculture et l'Alimentation - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement); Sébastien Loubier (UMR G-EAU - Gestion de l'Eau, Acteurs, Usages - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - BRGM - Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - AgroParisTech - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement); Jean-Marc Touzard (UMR Innovation - Innovation et Développement dans l'Agriculture et l'Alimentation - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)
    Keywords: Climate change, Adaptation strategy, Participative research, Aude
    Date: 2023–08–29
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04651558
  20. By: Yang, Xinyue; Odening, Martin
    Abstract: A reliable regulatory framework is essential for facilitating efficient and sustainable land rental markets by stabilizing farmers' expectations, particularly in emerging land markets. This study examines the effect of land tenure policy in China on the transaction volume and price of agricultural land rental. Using a unique and large panel database and a time-varying DID approach with two-way fixed effects, we examine China's 2009-2018 land certification policy, which is currently the world's largest land certification project. The policy aims to improve the stability of farmland use rights. The econometric analysis shows that the policy has significantly increased the amount of land rented by households. Our research shows that the certification policy has different effects on groups with different levels of tenure security and market development. In addition, we find that the policy can gradually increase the rental price of lessors while increasing the leased area, thereby increasing the income of lessors. These findings highlight the importance of land tenure systems for the development of land markets. Policymakers should focus on improving the institutional environment for land markets to unfold their potential as efficient allocation instrument.
    Keywords: Land Economics/Use
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344283
  21. By: Sylvain Dessy; Francesca Marchetta; Roland Pongou; Luca Tiberti
    Abstract: The unified growth theory (Galor and Weil, 1996) suggests that a high gender gap in earning power increases fertility rates. This paper presents the first microfounded test of this hypothesis, focusing on the critical age interval where this theory binds. Using household data from rural Madagascar—where restrictive gender norms and reliance on rainfed agriculture are prevalent—we exploit temporal and spatial variations in rainfall deficits at the grid-cell level during the growing season to measure women’s relative economic opportunities. Our analysis, controlling for grid-cell and year-of-birth fixed effects and accounting for the spatial correlation of drought episodes, reveals that drought significantly increases completed fertility only when experienced during adolescence. We show that school dropout among adolescent girls and the widening gender gap in economic opportunities drive this increase. Moreover, drought exposure raises adolescent girls’ marriage hazards and the likelihood of having multiple sex partners, triggering early childbearing, especially in agricultural households without irrigation. This study supports the unified growth theory by linking negative climate shocks to women’s relative earning power and fertility decisions, highlighting the need for policies addressing gender disparities and environmental vulnerabilities.
    Keywords: Drought; rainfed Agriculture; Women’s earning power; Completed fertility.
    JEL: C12 C13 C14 J12 J13 J16 O12
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:frz:wpaper:wp2024_14.rdf
  22. By: Zong, Jian; Zhu, Maoran; Xie, Wei
    Abstract: Dietary shifts are key for enhancing the sustainability of current national food systems but need to account for potential human health and environmental spillover effects as well. Employing the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), we examine the direct health and environmental effects of countries adopting national recommended dietary patterns on their own health and environment, as well as spillovers through food trade. We find that when countries shift to their National food based dietary guidelines it could make great improvements in human health (e.g., changes in obesity rates) but positive and negative impacts on the environment (e.g., changes in blue water use). It will have spillover effects on the health and environment of other countries through the price-income mechanism of food trade, so that the dietary shift does not necessarily result in universally beneficial outcomes for global health and the environment. In light of these findings, we explore alternative policy solutions, such as technical assistance, to enhance the potential for win-win outcomes for both health and the environment during dietary shifts.
    Keywords: Environmental Economics and Policy, Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344345
  23. By: Schnedler, Wendelin (University of Paderborn); Vigano, Antonia (University of Paderborn)
    Abstract: Food labels are supposed to quickly inform consumers about the nutritional values of products. We provide evidence that in a system where labels are voluntary, they are systematically distorted. The probability of finding a label on a product of the category with the highest nutritional value is 51 percentage points larger than in the lowest category.
    Keywords: food labels, marketing, consumer protection
    JEL: M38 D18 I18
    Date: 2024–08
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izapps:pp213
  24. By: Fernández, Enrique G.; Borges, Magdalena; Ferraro, Bruno; Rava, Catalina; Lanfranco, Bruno
    Abstract: In a collaborative effort with private agents of the oilseed industry, we carried out a research project to determine the feasibility of framing soybean production in Uruguay into sustainable development pathway. We adopted a spatial model based on land suitability analysis to estimate potential yields and the most suitable area for cultivation. We imposed several restrictions to define the potential cropping land based on risk erosion, current and alternative soil uses, transportation and logistics costs, and crop economic margins. We built different price-yields scenarios to estimate the potential area. With all restrictions imposed, the potential soybean area would be 2.1 million hectares by 2050, on rotation with other crops and pastures with an average yield of 3.3 MT/ha. This ad-hoc approach can be extended to any crop situation or region when the objective is to define how far it is possible to expand and intensify production without compromising the environment.
    Keywords: Crop Production/Industries
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344273
  25. By: Buenaseda, R.D.; Daloonpate, A.; Vijitsrikamol, K.
    Abstract: Recent developments in the Philippine onion industry include investments on cold storage facilities to abate postharvest losses and to provide farmers an option to increase their profit. Considering that onion is a highly seasonal crop, farmers may benefit from storing their harvest by selling in another time period when prices are higher. While previous studies showed that adoption of storage technology has resulted into additional net income, farmers are unable to capitalize this opportunity due to several barriers. Thus, this study examined the factors that are associated with the likelihood of using cold storage technology. Binary logit analysis was used to identify the factors that determine cold storage use. A total of 169 farmers are randomly selected using stratified random sampling. Farmers who are reliant on financiers serve as an impediment in practicing onion storage. Farmers who are engaged in trading, have stored onion previously, are members of a cooperative, and have attended training on postharvest management are more likely to use the cold storage facility.
    Keywords: Crop Production/Industries, Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies
    Date: 2024–04–28
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:asea24:344460
  26. By: Le-rong, YU; Jia-ming, GU
    Abstract: In the era of digital economy, it has become an important part of the digital transformation of the agricultural industry to promote the sound development of agricultural e-commerce. Based on sample data covering five provinces one municipality directly under the central government of China, the paper empirically analyzes the internal and external factors affecting online retail of agricultural products. The results show that park policies, business environment, market and other external factors significantly affect the online retail performance of agricultural products under the condition of controlling the characteristics of individual operators and products. However, the brand of agricultural products is still the key factor determining online retail performance. In addition, the mediating effects of new media communication on the relationship between external factors and online sales of agricultural products was significant. The research results can provide reference for further exploring the roles of government, market and new media technologies in boosting the development of agricultural e-commerce.
    Keywords: Agribusiness
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344310
  27. By: Zheng, X.; Daud, A.; Taasim, S.I.; Rosli, A.
    Abstract: Beef and mutton to be as the essential daily consumption, their prices have been given much attention by the government, researchers, and households. And some of researchers thinks that the instability of their prices is the result of the market gaming. However, the aim of my study is to employ and develop the VAR model of order p (price) and relative impulse response functions to account for the role that endogenous variables and oil price effect to the price fluctuation. We ask to how analyze and in what methods endogenous variable and oil price play a role for price transmission, movement and formation. We do so to enable agricultural policy makers, producer, and academics to understand the nuances of what factors and how they can have an obvious impact on price changes. Collecting 20 year monthly relevant data, we show that price changes are mutually affected by endogenous variables (retail price, producer price, international price and corn price) and oil price under VAR system analysis. The significance of this study is that it informs our theoretical understanding of forecasting the trend of prices by demonstrating the movement of prices of beef and mutton under introducing econometric VAR model, and informs our empirical understanding of stabilizing prices and guiding production.
    Keywords: Agricultural Finance, Supply Chain
    Date: 2024–04–28
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:asea24:344441
  28. By: Nayak, S Harshitha; Srivastava, Shivendra Kumar
    Abstract: Analysis of agricultural commodity price and market arrivals over time is important to know the fluctuations. It helps to formulate appropriate ways and means for reducing price fluctuations. Hence, trend, seasonal indices and variability in arrivals and prices of onion were studied in selected markets viz., Bengaluru, Mumbai, Ahmedabad and Pune. The secondary monthly data pertaining to arrivals and prices of onion in the above mentioned four markets was collected from agmarknet website for the period of 15 years i.e., from 2009 to 2023. The co- integration between markets was analyzed using Johansen’s co-integration test and the pairwise causality between markets was analyzed using Granger causality test. The trend analysis shows the positive trend in both arrivals and prices in all the four markets. Variability of prices was found pretty higher than that of market arrival. The result also revealed that all of the price series were non stationary at level and stationary at first difference. Presence of co- integration among the sample markets and price transmission from one market to another market excluding one or two markets was established.
    Keywords: Marketing
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344319
  29. By: Gilles Grolleau (ESSCA - School of Management); Naoufel Mzoughi (ECODEVELOPPEMENT - Ecodéveloppement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Emilien Prost (ESSCA - School of Management)
    Abstract: Incentives have been extensively studied in the management and policy literature, with most attention focusing on their type, magnitude, alignment, and effects. More recently, scholars paid attention to discounting issues and how these issues impact the effectiveness of incentives. Building on the nascent literature related to incentive timing, we argue that timing can offer an additional dimension to better characterize incentives and leverage their power by exploiting windows of opportunity. Using conceptual reasoning, we identify several mechanisms by which the timing of incentives can be used to increase their behavioral power. Specifically, well-timed (green) incentives can harness temporal landmarks, intermittence, immediacy and surprise effects, and intrinsic motivation reinforcement to reach environmental goals without significantly increasing the overall costs. We also indicate new avenues for further research such as designing a timing menu or considering time itself as an incentive.
    Keywords: environmental policies, incentives, opportunity window, temporal landmarks, timing
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04389954
  30. By: Ueda, Haruka
    Abstract: Well-being has become a key concept in the context of food studies, whereas food insecurity, as its deprivation, has become an issue that requires political commitment. These two academic traditions, although having been developed somewhat independently, can be connected by using Amartya Sen’s capability approach. In this study, we applied the Alkire-Foster multidimensional poverty/well-being measurement method, which was theoretically informed by the capability approach, to develop a new method for measuring the quality of dietary life in high-income societies. The data were obtained from a web-based questionnaire conducted with the Japanese population (n = 973). Our demonstration identified about 40% of the population as having high food capabilities to lead one's valuable dietary life, as well as about 20% of the population as living under food poverty. The results also showed that socioeconomic status (SES) was correlated with food poverty, but not with eating well, and that gender- and age-based inequalities in food capabilities were larger than SES ones. We also discussed fundamental issues relevant to this measurement, including the lack of social consensus about the quality of dietary life, the complex relationship between dietary.
    Keywords: Food Security and Poverty
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344259
  31. By: Liu, Pengcheng; Xie, Qing; You, Yi; Dong, Qingqing
    Abstract: Consumers are presented with increasingly difficult choice tasks and are experiencing more choice overload during the decision-making process. Based on the emotion-imbued choice model and incorporating subjective state consequences into the framework of experienced utility, this research constructed a systematic scale to measure choice overload in several decision-making stages. This research conducted three experiments using liquid milk as a consumption product to test whether choice overload would be influenced by increasing the number of attributes, adding similar options, and information nudges, and whether this effect would be heterogeneous in consumer characteristics. Results indicate that more attributes and the addition of similar options would increase the perceived difficulty of choice and result in negative emotions, while information nudges might lessen choice overload and help consumers make decisions. Besides, consumers’ pursuit of maximization also determines their perceived choice overload; maximizers are more likely to experience choice overload than satisficers.
    Keywords: Consumer/Household Economics, Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344272
  32. By: Quintana, Víctor M.; Solis, Martín
    Date: 2023–07–31
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ecr:col094:80457
  33. By: Blouin, Simon; Herwix, Alexander; Rivers, Morgan; Tieman, Ross; Denkenberger, David C.
    Abstract: The food supply chain's heavy reliance on electricity poses significant vulnerabilities in the event of prolonged and widespread power disruptions. This study introduces a system-dynamics model that integrates five critical infrastructures—electric grid, liquid fossil fuels, Internet, transportation, and human workforce—to evaluate the resilience of food supply chains to major power outages. We validate the model using the 2019 Venezuelan blackouts as a case study, demonstrating its predictive validity. We then explore how more extreme electricity losses would disrupt the supply chain. More specifically, we model the impact of a large-scale cyberattack on the US electric grid and a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) event. A cyberattack severely damaging the US electric grid and allowing for recovery within a few weeks or months would lead to substantial drops in food consumption. However, it would likely still be possible to provide adequate calories to everyone, assuming that food is equitably distributed. In contrast, a year-long recovery from a HEMP event affecting most of the continental US could precipitate a state of famine. Our analysis represents a first attempt at quantifying how food availability progressively worsens as power outages extend over time. Our open-source model is made publicly available, and we encourage its application to other catastrophic scenarios beyond those specifically considered in this work (e.g., extreme solar storms, high-lethality pandemics).
    Date: 2024–08–02
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:osfxxx:dc529
  34. By: Halkos, George; Zisiadou, Argyro; Aslanidis, Panagiotis-Stavros; Koundouri, Phoebe
    Abstract: The Black Sea region faces pressures on ecosystem services (ES) due to invasive species, waste, eutrophication, and biodiversity loss. We apply a stated preference technique, i.e. a choice experiment (CE), aiming to compare three hypothetical scenarios regarding the welfare impact of ES on citizens’ lives in terms of willingness-to-pay (WTP). Initially, the distributed questionnaires underwentan econometric pre-test regarding the orthogonality of all CE scenarios in R-studio. Questionnaire distribution occurred from 29/05/2023 to 21/11/2023 with a total number of 375 responders from the three pilot sites: Turkey, Romania, and Georgia. The highest WTP occurred in Turkey (56.72€) for all scenarios followed by Georgia (49.04€), and Romania (47.96€). Moreover, the greater WTP value is demonstrated by Scenario C (25.51€) followed by Scenarios B (25.17€) and Scenario A (25.11€). Interesting socioeconomic characteristics derived from Cross-Tabulation Analysis that notably cannot impact the WTP are income, gender, and age. Furthermore, marital status and education might affect the WTP only in Romania, however, this is not demonstrated in Turkeyor Georgia. Interestingly, the higher level of education in Romania is linked to lower WTP, nevertheless, education typically relates to environmental sensitivity. Another aspect is that occupation can change responders’ WTP in Romania and Georgia, but not in Turkey. In essence, the economic valuation of ES through CE methodology can offer policymaking insights into Blue Growth initiatives.
    Keywords: ecosystem management; human impacts; valuation studies; choice experiment; stated preferences; blue economy;sustainable development goals.
    JEL: Q0 Q01 Q1 Q5 Q50 Q51 R10 R11 R14
    Date: 2024–08–15
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:121733
  35. By: Nikoleta Anesti (Bank of England); Vania Esady (Bank of England); Matthew Naylor (Bank of England; University of Oxford)
    Abstract: We construct a novel dataset to investigate the sensitivity of household inflation expectations to personal experienced inflation, testing whether households weigh price changes differently across items in the consumption basket. Food prices matter significantly more for households inflation expectations dynamics than other components, including energy. In particular, households are asymmetrically sensitive to increases in food price-driven inflation, and above-median income households are more sensitive than peers. Taken together, our findings can rationalise a number of empirical regularities related to household expectations: their upwards bias relative to actual inflation; cross-sectional heterogeneity across demographic groups; and their ‘supply-side’ oriented view of the economy. Our results imply that the risk of household expectations contributing to persistent inflationary dynamics are greatest when shocks impact prices of non-core components of the basket.
    Keywords: Households, inflation expectations, inflation experiences, heterogeneity, food prices
    JEL: C33 D84 E31 E52
    Date: 2024–08
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cfm:wpaper:2434
  36. By: Mu, Yali
    Abstract: This paper employs an analytical framework combining a time-varying Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) with panel stochastic frontier models to assess and benchmark the efficiency of pork markets across 30 provincial capitals in China from 2000 to 2017. The time-varying VECM reveals that between 20% and 40% of any deviation from long-run equilibrium in market pairs is corrected within one month, highlighting the responsiveness and adjustment processes within the pork markets. Concurrently, panel stochastic frontier models estimate the efficiency of market integration across different provincial capitals, capturing spatial and temporal variations in market efficiency. Key findings indicate significant spatial and temporal variations in the speed at which markets correct deviations from equilibrium. The efficiency frontiers decline with increasing distances between markets, underscoring the influence of spatial factors such as logistics and transportation on price transmission efficiency across regions. Over the studied period, the estimated frontiers for market integration exhibit a downward shift, suggesting challenges in overall market efficiency regarding price transmission. The results also reveal that there is a fixed level of inefficiency that cannot be explained by the covariates we included in the models.
    Keywords: Marketing
    Date: 2024–08–07
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344294
  37. By: Paola Jaimes (Department of Economics, University of Ottawa, Canada)
    Abstract: This paper provides quantitative evidence on the relationship between gold mining expansion and violent conflict in Colombia. Utilizing a two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression model, the study examines the effects of gold mining on violence using three different measures of gold mining activity across two distinct periods: the Gold Rush (2004-2014) and the post-Gold Rush (2014-2022). The exogeneity of international gold prices and geochemical anomalies is exploited to identify causal effects. During the Gold Rush period, strong effects of gold mining on violence are observed using machine learning and gold mining deforestation measures. In the post-Gold Rush period, mixed results were found, with significant effects primarily observed using the deforestation measure. The presence of armed groups and ethnic mining communities exacerbates the effects of gold mining on violence. However, using two different measures for institutions, such as judicial inefficiency and electoral risk, no significant influence on the impact of gold mining on violence was found. The findings highlight the role of armed groups and the targeting of ethnic communities in the expansion of gold mining areas, underscoring the need for policy interventions to address land disputes and the involvement of armed groups in the mining sector. The robustness of the results is confirmed through various measures of the dependent variables and different clustering methods for standard errors.
    Keywords: Natural resources, gold mining, Colombia, conflict, violence.
    JEL: D74 L72 Q34 O13
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ott:wpaper:2404e

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