nep-iue New Economics Papers
on Informal and Underground Economics
Issue of 2012‒11‒03
six papers chosen by
Catalina Granda Carvajal
Universidad de Antioquia

  1. Heterogeneity in subjective wellbeing : an application to occupational allocation in Africa By Falco, Paolo; Maloney, William F.; Rijkers, Bob; Sarrias, Mauricio
  2. Is Informality a Barrier to Financial Development? By Ceyhun Elgin; Burak R. Uras
  3. El Tax Credits Response to Tax Enforcement: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Chile By Claudio Agostini
  4. Tax Evasion and Optimal Environmental Taxes By Liu, Antung Anthony
  5. Tax capacity and tax effort : extended cross-country analysis from 1994 to 2009 By Le, Tuan Minh; Moreno-Dodson, Blanca; Bayraktar, Nihal
  6. The myth of the “cashless society”: How much of America’s currency is overseas? By Feige, Edgar L.

  1. By: Falco, Paolo; Maloney, William F.; Rijkers, Bob; Sarrias, Mauricio
    Abstract: Using an extraordinarily rich panel dataset from Ghana, this paper explores the nature of self-employment and informality in developing countries through the analysis of self-reported happiness with work and life. Subjective job satisfaction measures allow assessment of the relative desirability of different jobs in ways that, conditional wage comparisons cannot. By exploiting recent advances in mixed (random parameter) ordered probit models, the distribution of subjective well-being across sectors of employment is quantified. There is little evidence for the overall inferiority of the small firm informal sector: there is not a robust average satisfaction premium for formal work vs. self-employment or informal salaried work, and owners of informal firms that employ others are on average significantly happier than workers in the formal private sector. Moreover, the estimated distribution of parameters predicting satisfaction reveal substantial heterogeneity in subjective well-being within sectors that conventional fixed parameter models, such as standard ordered probit models, cannot detect: Whatever the average satisfaction premium in a sector, all job categories contain both relatively happy and disgruntled workers. Specifically, roughly 67, 50, 40 and 59 percent prefer being a small-firm employer, sole proprietor, informal salaried, civic worker respectively, than formal work. Hence, there is a high degree of overlap in the distribution of satisfaction across sectors. The results are robust to the inclusion of fixed effects and alternate measures of satisfaction. Job characteristics, self-perceived autonomy and experimentally elicited measures of attitudes toward risk do not appear to explain these distributional patterns.
    Keywords: Labor Markets,Labor Policies,Labor Management and Relations,Work&Working Conditions,Educational Policy and Planning
    Date: 2012–10–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6244&r=iue
  2. By: Ceyhun Elgin; Burak R. Uras
    Date: 2012–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bou:wpaper:2012/12&r=iue
  3. By: Claudio Agostini (Escuela de Gobierno, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez)
    Abstract: Diesel in Chile receives a different tax treatment depending on its use. If diesel is used in industrial activities the diesel taxes paid can be fully used as a credit against VAT, but if it is used in freight or public transportation (basically trucks and buses) only a fraction of diesel taxes paid can be used as a credit against VAT. As a result of this different tax treatment firms have incentives to use “tax exempted” diesel in activities requiring “non tax exempted” diesel. This tax wedge therefore generates and opportunity for tax evasion. In this paper we analyze the impact of a tax enforcement program implemented by the Chilean IRS, where letters requiring information about diesel tax credits were sent to around 200 firms in 2003. Using different empirical strategies to consider the non-randomness of the selection of firms, we find that firms receiving a letter decreased their diesel tax credits by around 11%.
    Date: 2012–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:uai:wpaper:inv001&r=iue
  4. By: Liu, Antung Anthony (Resources for the Future)
    Abstract: This paper introduces a new argument to the debate about the role of environmental taxes in modern tax systems. Some environmental taxes, particularly taxes on gasoline or electricity, are more difficult to evade than taxes on labor or income. When the tax base is shifted in a revenue-neutral manner toward these environmental taxes, the result is a net reduction in the amount of tax evasion. Using a carbon tax as a motivating example, the "tax evasion effect" is shown to sharply reduce the welfare cost of controlling emissions. A simple computable general equilibrium model suggests that the impact of considering tax evasion can be large: costs are lowered by 28 percent in the United States, by 89 percent in China, and by 97 percent in India. In countries with high levels of pre-existing tax evasion, a carbon tax will pay for itself through improvements in the efficiency of the tax system.
    Keywords: environmental regulation, Pigouvian tax, tax evasion, green tax swap, tax interactions
    JEL: H21 H26 Q53 Q54
    Date: 2012–09–14
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rff:dpaper:dp-12-37&r=iue
  5. By: Le, Tuan Minh; Moreno-Dodson, Blanca; Bayraktar, Nihal
    Abstract: One of the important factors for economic development is the existence of an effective tax system. This paper deals with the concept and empirical estimation of countries'taxable capacity and tax effort. It employs a cross-country study from a sample of 110 developing and developed countries during 1994-2009. Taxable capacity refers to the predicted tax-to-gross domestic product ratio that can be estimated empirically, taking into account a country's specific macroeconomic, demographic, and institutional features, which all change through time. Tax effort is defined as an index of the ratio between the share of the actual tax collection in gross domestic product and taxable capacity. The use of tax effort and actual tax collection benchmarks allows the ranking of countries into four different groups: low tax collection, low tax effort; high tax collection, high tax effort; low tax collection, high tax effort; and high tax collection, low tax effort. The analysis provides broad guidance for tax reforms in countries with various levels of taxable capacity and revenue intake.
    Keywords: Taxation&Subsidies,Subnational Economic Development,Debt Markets,Emerging Markets,Economic Theory&Research
    Date: 2012–10–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6252&r=iue
  6. By: Feige, Edgar L.
    Abstract: The rapid growth of substitutes for cash, particularly debit and credit cards, has led economists to predict the advent of the “cashless society”. Yet cash holdings in most developed economies continue to grow and in the U.S., per capita currency holdings now amount to $3000. This paper revisits the long-standing controversy concerning the whereabouts of U.S. cash. Specifically, we employ a previously confidential data source on net shipments of U.S. currency abroad to re-estimate the fraction of U.S. currency held overseas. Contrary to the widely cited figure that 65 percent of U.S. currency is abroad, we now find that direct evidence supports the notion that overseas holdings amount to less than 25 percent. Currently, the official figure for the percent of U.S. currency held abroad as published by the Federal Reserve in their Flow of Funds Accounts and by the Bureau of Economic Analysis in the U.S. Balance of Payments Accounts is 37 percent. This official figure is a proxy variable that is supposed to mimic the previously confidential data series maintained by the New York Federal Reserve. Judson (2012) made this series public enabling us to discover that the official estimates of currency abroad require downward revision to reflect accurately the newly released data on actual cash shipments abroad. We also review the “indirect” approaches to estimating the fraction of currency overseas employed by Porter and Judson (1996) and Judson (2012). We find that these indirect methods to be innovative but deeply flawed due to violations of their restrictive assumptions. Moreover, sensitivity analysis reveals the estimates highly sensitive to alternative specifying assumptions. We conclude that the large estimates of currency abroad obtained by these methods are spurious. The paper also examines the temporal pattern of overseas holdings of U.S. currency and finds that the observed decline in the demand for U.S cash abroad coincides with the growing popularity of the Euro and its growth as a second currency held outside the Euro area between 2003 and 2008. These new findings have significant implications for estimating the domestic money supply and other domestic monetary aggregates; for estimating the net benefits of seigniorage earnings of the Federal Reserve; for forecasting changes in output and prices and for estimating the amount of unreported income and tax evasion in the U.S.
    Keywords: Overseas Currency; cashless society; currency abroad; underground economy; seigniorage;
    JEL: C82 E51 E01 E26 O17 F24 E41
    Date: 2012–06
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:42169&r=iue

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