nep-afr New Economics Papers
on Africa
Issue of 2019‒06‒24
five papers chosen by
Sam Sarpong
The University of Mines and Technology

  1. The Slave Trade and Conflict in Africa, 1400-2000 By Boxell, Levi; Dalton, John T.; Leung, Tin Cheuk
  2. Is fintech good for bank performance? The case of mobile money in the East African Community By Serge Ky; Clovis Rugemintwari; Alain Sauviat
  3. The long-run and short-run effects of foreign direct investment on financial development in African countries By Njangang, Henri; Luc, Nembot Ndeffo; Nawo, Larissa
  4. Renewable Energy, Trade Performance and the Conditional Role of Finance and Institutional Capacity of sub-Sahara African Countries By Opeyemi Akinyemi; Uchenna Efobi; Simplice A. Asongu; Evans Osabuohein
  5. Coping with Falling Oil Prices: The Different Fortunes of African Banks By Cheikh A. Gueye; Asithandile Mbelu; Amadou N Sy

  1. By: Boxell, Levi; Dalton, John T.; Leung, Tin Cheuk
    Abstract: Can the slave trade explain Africa's propensity for conflict? Using variation in slave exports driven by the interaction between foreign demand shocks and heterogeneity in trade costs, we show that the slave trade increased conflict propensities in pre-colonial Africa and that this effect has persisted to the present. Moreover, we find empirical evidence suggesting two related mechanisms for this persistence--natural resources and national institutions. These results "decompress" history by connecting the short-run and long-run effects of the African slave trade.
    Keywords: slave trade; conflict; resource curse; institutions; Africa
    JEL: N47 N57 O13
    Date: 2019–06–13
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:94468&r=all
  2. By: Serge Ky (LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - IR SHS UNILIM - Institut Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société - UNILIM - Université de Limoges); Clovis Rugemintwari (LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - IR SHS UNILIM - Institut Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société - UNILIM - Université de Limoges); Alain Sauviat (LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - IR SHS UNILIM - Institut Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société - UNILIM - Université de Limoges)
    Abstract: Mobile money, a technology-driven innovation in financial services, has profoundly penetrated the financial landscape in Sub-Saharan Africa, including banks. Yet, besides anecdotal evidence, little is known about whether mobile money adoption enhances or worsens bank performance. Combining hand-collected data with balance sheet data from Bankscope for a panel of 170 financial institutions over the period 2009-2015, we find a strong positive and significant relationship between the time elapsed since banks' adoption of mobile money and their performance considering an array of proxies of bank profitability, efficiency and stability. In further investigations, we show how bank specialization and size alter such an association. Our results are robust to using instrumental variables, controlling for bank and macro level confounding factors, bank fixed effects and considering alternative measures of bank performance and mobile money adoption. Furthermore, we show that enhanced income diversification and broadened access to deposits are possible channels through which banks involved in mobile money improve their performance. Overall, our findings highlight the bright side of cooperation between banks and mobile network operators in the provision of mobile money.
    Keywords: Fintech,Mobile money,Innovation,Bank performance,East African Community
    Date: 2019–06–13
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-02155077&r=all
  3. By: Njangang, Henri; Luc, Nembot Ndeffo; Nawo, Larissa
    Abstract: This paper contributes to the understanding of the other neglected effects of foreign direct investment by analysing how foreign direct investment affects financial development in the short-run and long-run for a panel of 49 African countries over the period 1990-2016. The empirical evidence is based on Pooled Mean Group (PMG) approach. With three panels differentiated by income level, the following findings are established: first, while there is a positive and significant long-run relationship between foreign direct investment and financial development in Africa, in the short-run the effect of foreign direct investment on financial development is negative. Second, the effect of foreign direct investment is positive and significant in the long-run in the three sub-samples. However, in the short-run, the effect of foreign direct investment is negative and significant in lower-income countries and non-significant in lower-middle-income and upper-middle-income countries. Overall we find a strong evidence supporting the view that foreign direct investment promotes financial development in African countries in the long-run.
    Keywords: Foreign direct investment, financial development, Pooled Mean Group, Africa
    JEL: F23 O16 O55
    Date: 2019–06–07
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:94362&r=all
  4. By: Opeyemi Akinyemi (Covenant University, Ota, Ogun State, Nigeria); Uchenna Efobi (Covenant University, Ota, Ogun State, Nigeria); Simplice A. Asongu (Yaoundé, Cameroon); Evans Osabuohein (Covenant University, Ota, Nigeria)
    Abstract: The paper investigates the dynamic relationship between renewable energy usage and trade performance in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), while considering the conditioning role of corruption control, regulatory quality, and the private sector access to finance. Focusing on 42 SSA countries for the period 2004-2016, and engaging the System generalized method of moments (GMM) technique for its estimation, this study found a negative relationship between renewable energy usage and the indicators of trade performance. However, with corruption control, improved regulatory framework, and better finance for the private sector, there are potentials for a positive net impact of renewable energy usage on manufacturing export. For renewable energy and total trade nexus, we find that improved regulatory framework and better finance for the private sector are important conditioning structures. These findings are significant because they highlight the different important structures of SSA countries that improve the effect of renewable energy use on trade outcomes. For instance, the consideration of the financial, institutional and regulatory frameworks in SSA countries in conditioning the renewable energy-trade nexus stipulates a clear policy pathway for countries in this region as the debate for transition to the use of renewable energy progresses.
    Keywords: Environment; Green growth; Trade performance; Pollution
    JEL: C5 F1 Q4 Q5
    Date: 2019–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:agd:wpaper:19/032&r=all
  5. By: Cheikh A. Gueye; Asithandile Mbelu; Amadou N Sy
    Abstract: This paper studies the impact of declining oil prices on banks in sub-Saharan African oil-exporting countries. Results indicate that banks respond differently to an oil shock depending on their ownership: (i) domestic banks are the most adversely impacted and experience a deterioration in asset quality and liquidity; (ii) foreign-owned banks are the most resilient as they are able to improve asset quality and attract deposits but at the same time, they decelerate credit growth; in contrast, (iii) Pan-African Banks help stabilize overall credit but large banks in that segment experience reduced asset quality. These differentiated results suggest a tradeoff between maintaining credit growth and safeguarding financial stability in an oil slump which could be addressed by both micro- and macroprudential policies.
    Date: 2019–06–17
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:19/129&r=all

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